Firstly, does AZ even exist anymore? (dumped on 3rd world countries doesn't count)
But trying to fathom the actual incidence of myocarditis in the young with mRNA shots.
TGA stats for second dose in teenage boys (it's) at 12 cases per 100,000 for Pfizer and 17 per 100,000 for Moderna
Leaving reports of under-reporting aside for a moment, that's about 15 per 100 000, which is:
1 in 6,666.
But that's per shot. If you look at in terms of your likelihood to have an attack of myocarditis (a very serious illness) then you need to look at it per course of an mRNA vaccine.
We're already up to 4 and counting in Australia and other countries so we can divide 6666 by 4
That's if you trust the pro-vax talking heads' figures. If you think half of the cases are swept under the carpet then you're looking at a risk factor in the 800's.
That's only myocarditis - known effect in the short term. You're still in the running for pericarditis.
Then there's the long term effects - whatever they are.