I don't like the way this is playing out. Putin indicates he's going to invade Ukraine and the rest of the world sits around and watches, macabrely waiting for it to happen, having already announced they won't get involved militarily.

When it does happen, which seems certain, we will have some trade sanctions and a few toothless UN resolutions asking everyone to settle their differences through peaceful means.

All the while China is watching and thinking 'Great - let's do that with Taiwan!'

If i'm China, I'm thinking to launch an invasion of Taiwan off the back of Ukraine. This is too big a window to ignore.

Meanwhile the west is hopelessly divided due to Covid. Can you see Canadians uniting behind Trudeau for example? French behind Macron? US behind Biden?