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Australia Heatwave Jan 2019 (General)

by dan @, Friday, January 18, 2019, 10:54 (543 days ago) @ dulan drift

Well, although I have no idea about the science being used, one thing is for sure and that is that this is the first time they've had to create models for any of this. We're in uncharted territory. We can actually predict very little when it comes to common climate and geological events. We cannot accurately predict fires, typhoons, tornadoes, lightning, volcanic activity, earthquakes, magnetic shifts, or all sorts of precipitation. Sure, we can make general predictions, but not specific ones. And these are common, isolated events we're talking about.

If we can't even predict daily patterns that we've been observing and recording for thousands of years, how can we assume we can predict this new, far more complex thing happening on a global scale? I wonder if we haven't underestimated the extent to which this will snowball due to the effects of, for example, all the carbon being unlocked by the melting poles, all the carbon added by the fires, population growth in developing countries, etc.

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