One thing that strikes me about their site is the extent to which forecast models differ.

Dong He just about splits the difference.

Looking at the chart, i guess they're differing on whether the front will weaken the high enough to let it go poleward. If not, the high is well positioned for it to end up here. Also, i am curious to see if the eastern one (Talas) goes straight up as predicted - the high would seem to be blocking it.

Anyway, surely there must be some rain somewhere in all of this for us - we've had virtually no rain this Aug when we usually get 300ml - maybe it's saving it all for the last couple of days.