Forecast image for May 30. Tracks look like it's heading toward Taiwan but according to the (forecast) chart i think it will re-curve north-east towards the cold-fronts/Japan. There's no high pressure ridge there to keep it flat. Should be perfect for the surfers, though ...

It's a week out so things can change, of course.

I do think Taiwan will cop a big one this year, but maybe not this one. Would be ridiculously early if it did.