A couple systems off in the distance

These may bring us some rain eventually:

[image]

The first one will probably stay east of us but the second is currently predicted to come here by monday. And could well be a full scale typhoon by then. As we're now up to 17 blazing sunny days without rain, it would be most welcome.

[image]

bad news. forecast has changed dramatically today and it's now predicted to stay well east of us - will be lucky to get a passing shower out of it if it holds that line.

Don't give up hope yet. A couple excerpts from the latest prognostic reasoning from JTWC:

HOWEVER, GUIDANCE HAS BEEN FAIRLY ERRATIC AND, IN GENERAL,
IS TRENDING FURTHER WEST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

DYNAMIC
GUIDANCE INDICATES INCREASING UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF THE
RECURVE WITH A 300 NM SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS AT TAU 120.

Also, that first system sitting SSE of us looks like it's gaining steam. It might bring at least the east coast a shower or two.

[image]

yeah, just looked at the sat again and seems like the first one may end up dumping some rain here - as soon as tomorrow. CWB is now predicting the second one will swallow it at some stage. To be honest, i'm not ready for a full scale typhoon - it's too early, but i'm ready for some decent rain and heat relief.

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A couple systems off in the distance (Weather)