TS Sinlaku has Guam directly in its sight. Let's hope, as often happens, this storm take a different path. The last typhoon that hit Guam, Mawar, left large parts of it without power and water for weeks.

EDIT: From AI - April typhoons on Guam are uncommon. The peak typhoon risk runs June–December (highest Aug–Nov); only a small fraction of Western North Pacific tropical cyclones affect Guam in April. Historically, typhoons or tropical storms near Guam in April occur only a few times per several decades (occasional April storms exist but are rare compared with the peak season).

Man, you know how to attract a storm! April is a weird time for a typhoon.

The big news in mid-east Aus is the El Nino, which has turned one of the wettest places on the planet in April into a dry zone. How does El Nino effect Guam, if at all?

Holy fuck! Sinlaku has whipped up into a monster. The winds are insane - sustained at 150kts - gusts up to 180!(333 kph!) at its peak, which seems pretty much when it passes Guam.

JTWC has the eye passing east of Guam but close. Spaghetti models range it even closer. Take care.

Can you feel it already?

We just got our power and cell service back after 2 1/2 days. We lucked out big time. Saipan took the bullet this time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7L11cAGSIg

And it slowed to a crawl while it was passing, 3mph for quite a while. The highest gusts here were in the mid 80's mph, with sustained 40-50 I think, but it lasted a long time.

The media won't pick this up at all being Guam and Saipan, but I expect to see some pretty tragic scenes out of Saipan and the other islands.

EDIT: Better footage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WC6Hw-C8YY .

It's weird, but not i suppose, that a Cat 4-5 can find you way out there in the middle of the pacific.

Yutu, in 2018 also hit Saipan (in Oct, the other end of the season), so it's not quite as uncommon as i thought. Interestingly, 2018 was also an El Nino year.

Before that, you've got to go back to 1968 & typhoon Jean (the start of an El Nino) for a storm of similar strength.

80mph winds in Guam is serious, especially when it's dragged out. 2&1/2 days to get internet, power back on is not bad going. Saipan would have been fucking scary. That got totally smashed.

We got so very lucky with this storm. It was forecast to hit us directly, in which case we would have been without services for probably a couple weeks. A lot of people were without power after Mawar for over a month. And we never lost water, thank God.

Still, I was surprised that what was essentially a tropical storm for us, with some typhoon-strength gusts, took down electricity for the majority of the island for over two days in addition to water for a lot of people. Many are still without services. It's just one of the drawbacks of living on a small, remote island.

Still, I was surprised that what was essentially a tropical storm for us, with some typhoon-strength gusts, took down electricity for the majority of the island for over two days in addition to water for a lot of people. Many are still without services. It's just one of the drawbacks of living on a small, remote island.

Luxury. Ex-tropical storm Alfred made landfall around here last year packing winds of 50-60kph (max gust on the coast of 90kph) & knocked out power to over 800 000 homes, costing billions.
The modern world, in Aus at least, is ridiculously flimsy.

You'd think underground lines would be a good idea in Guam - it's not like it's that big.

Was going to post a photo of damage in Saipan, but i can't tell what's AI generated or real anymore.