1. Massive cyber-attack (Whitney Webb might be onto something there). I'm interested to see how far you can push cyber-war without it triggering normal war. It's going on already at pace, but presumably there's a point (extended nation-wide outage) where it demands a military response. The question is will that cyber-attack be from China, Russia, or Iran? Or all three? Using the WW model, it would be likely blamed on Iran, as US can bomb the shit out of it whilst also using the attack as an excuse to clamp down on internet control. If it's from China, the west can still clamp down - but would they respond militarily?

Yeah, Iran would be a good bet. They'd want to take them out and have regime change before they get too many nukes. Note that they can't really blame N. Korea (or attack them anyway) because they now have enough nukes to be a deterrance. Guess their strategy worked! Unless, of course, the US doesn't mind taking a couple hits and just wipes out N. Korea in the process. But I think Iran would be their go-to fall guy.

2. Big typhoon for northern Taiwan - it's been a while, so law of averages ... Also been a while without an earthquake on the Jia-yi (921) fault line, though i doubt it will be both in the same year.

You're the expert here! I concur!

3. Economic crash. Doubling up on this one, though would defer to Dan on how long the US can keep propping the whole circus up with money printing.

Perhaps, but I don't think they'll waste a good opportunity. If they know a crash is coming, they'll create a reason for it (i.e., cyber attack) rather than take the obvious blame. But they can print money and keep a collapse at bay as long as the rest of the world accepts a falling USD as the reserve currency. When it starts losing that status, then something has to happen. Will it be this year? Maybe. But maybe not. In this interview, I believe Lyn Alden predicts the crash of the USD by 2030, but I may be remembering incorrectly. I believe that comes in the second half of the long interview. Definitely worth watching.

4. UFO full-disclosure. Which could be just some other (possibly biologically extinct) civilization's AI connecting with our AI.

And who knows, maybe this will be the event that demands extreme action by the Man!

Anything else Dan?

Growing currency devaluation around the world. Depending on how the US election goes, which is near the end of the year so this might be 2025, possible serious civil strife in the US.