One to watch. From this Nov 1 position, it's expected to recurve dramatically to the ne - miss Taiwan altogether. Move away quickly. Guess the thinking is it's gonna chase the coldfront to the east. If that happens it'll be fine.

If the high were to build in, however, block its run, causing it to stall in the Nov 1 position, drift up the west coast of Kenting peninsular - that's the nightmare scenario for a big rain event on the south east coat. Like a reverse Morakot effect.

Never seen it happen, not exactly, but it's possible.