I wouldn't be so sure. Some of the models used at http://hurricane.methaz.org/tracking/ are always way off the consensus of the biggies, but if memory serves, it was one of these crackpot models at that site that first predicted the Tembin loop. Also, note that Sanba hasn't really moved to any significant degree yet, similar to how Tembin acted. I'll accept that Sanba is going on it's widely predicted NNW track after it actually starts heading that way in a noticeable and sustained manner. Until then, well, there's always hope.