Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven

There's quite a discrepancy here in forecasts. CWB still has the second typhoon heading back down to the south of us while JTWC has it recurving to the north of Taiwan.
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Is this the big one? - dulan drift, 2012-08-17, 19:02
- Is this the big one? - dan, 2012-08-17, 21:00
- Is this the big one? - dan, 2012-08-17, 21:06
  - Is this the big one? - dulan drift, 2012-08-18, 14:05
    - Is this the big one? - dan, 2012-08-18, 17:00
      - Is this the big one? - dulan drift, 2012-08-18, 17:22
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dulan drift, 2012-08-20, 12:11
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dan, 2012-08-20, 13:45
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dulan drift, 2012-08-20, 14:33
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dulan drift, 2012-08-20, 17:03
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dan, 2012-08-20, 17:40
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dulan drift, 2012-08-20, 19:35
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dan, 2012-08-20, 21:53
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dan, 2012-08-20, 17:38
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dulan drift, 2012-08-20, 23:11
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dulan drift, 2012-08-21, 13:31
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dan, 2012-08-21, 19:18
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dulan drift, 2012-08-21, 22:57
        
        Is this the big one? 16W - dan, 2012-08-22, 07:06
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dulan drift, 2012-08-23, 09:44
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dan, 2012-08-23, 10:04
        
        Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven - dulan drift, 2012-08-23, 11:22

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Is this the big one? 16W-Bolaven (General)