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Hualien-Taidong Leaping Triggered Earthquake Sequence (General)

by dulan drift, Thursday, February 08, 2018, 10:04 (138 days ago) @ dulan drift

So according to the 1951 pattern, there was another 5.8M last night, which could be considered as part of the trio

It's confusing the way they measure the quakes - whereas CWB claimed the previous peak quakes were 5.8 and 6.0, the US seismic bureau measured them as 6.1 and 6.4 - which one is right?

Given the level of damage and CWB's embarrassingly wrong pronouncements so far, I'm going with the US measurement, which would make last night's also a 6.1

That gives us three quakes over 6 - which would match the 3 x 7M of 1951

They are also reporting 94 fore-shocks

Frustratingly, it's very hard to find research papers on foreshocks - they all seem to be about big earthquakes and their aftershocks - which I can't really see the point of

Surely it's far more important to be studying the pattern of fore-shocks - that way you have some hope of working out what's coming instead of endlessly writing papers about the aftermath which are of no use to anyone


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