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<title>Formosahut forum - Perth Fires</title>
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<description>Living in Taiwan</description>
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<title>Perth Fires (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>then the forecast for tomorrow is a shocker - 39C with winds up to 80kph! Good luck stopping a bushfire in those conditions.</p>
</blockquote><p>That&#039;s Hawaii disaster type conditions.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 25 Nov 2023 11:07:48 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Perth Fires (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>El Nino hasn&#039;t impacted the east coast of Australia where temperatures, rainfall have been relatively normal - a bit below ave.  But it&#039;s burning up the west coast.  </p>
<p>There are currently fires in Perth outskirts that have destroyed a dozen or so houses, but then the forecast for tomorrow is a shocker - 39C with winds up to 80kph! Good luck stopping a bushfire in those conditions.</p>
<p><img src="https://imageresizer.static9.net.au/W34iymKfooAAPl07IPdpyhNeuWc=/0x320:1350x1079/1000x0/https%3A%2F%2Fprod.static9.net.au%2Ffs%2F3fa24e6d-cb64-4104-9f6d-2920d58bb196" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 25 Nov 2023 10:15:08 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu - record gust (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Straight into the record books!</p>
<p><a href="https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5014157">Taiwan records world&#039;s 3rd highest wind gust during Typhoon Koinu</a></p>
<p><em>As Typhoon Koinu&#039;s storm circle enveloped Taitung County&#039;s Orchid Island at 9:53 p.m., the Orchid Island weather station measured a gust of 95.2 meters per second or 342.72 kph (212.95 mph), exceeding level 17, the top of the Beaufort scale, CWA reported. The Taitung weather station said the measurement broke Taiwan&#039;s 126-year record and the anemometer was damaged.</em></p>
<p><em>According to Huang, this measurement was the highest seen in the 126 years since anemometers were first installed in Taiwan in 1897. In addition, such was the force of the winds generated by Koinu &quot;the anemometer then broke down.&quot;</em></p>
<p>One question is, if the meter broke, how do they know the wind didn&#039;t go any higher?</p>
</blockquote><p>That&#039;s surprising!  Coz it wasn&#039;t even that big of a typhoon, supposedly, Cat 2-3?</p>
<p>The thing about typhoons though is they&#039;re made up of gusts - or threads of wind.  You really get that sensation as they&#039;re approaching, it can go from almost calm to a house-rattling gust, then it dies down again until the next gust.  As it gets closer, those gusts get stronger, longer &amp; closer together.  Even in the eye-wall, there is still that same underlying pattern, though obviously the base-wind is stronger.</p>
<p>So somewhere within Koinu there must have been a rip-snorter gust.</p>
<p>Residents of south Taiwan will be looking for a break, though worryingly, the charts suggest there&#039;s another one brewing.  Oct typhoons hitting Taiwan are not common, but occasionally there will be a season when they seem to keep coming.  Latest i can remember was Nov 1, the year before Nari.  It produced a one-in-a-hundred year flood - beaten the very next year by Nari with its one-in-two-hundred-year flood.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 06 Oct 2023 21:46:02 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Straight into the record books!</p>
<p><a href="https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5014157">Taiwan records world&#039;s 3rd highest wind gust during Typhoon Koinu</a></p>
<p><em>As Typhoon Koinu&#039;s storm circle enveloped Taitung County&#039;s Orchid Island at 9:53 p.m., the Orchid Island weather station measured a gust of 95.2 meters per second or 342.72 kph (212.95 mph), exceeding level 17, the top of the Beaufort scale, CWA reported. The Taitung weather station said the measurement broke Taiwan&#039;s 126-year record and the anemometer was damaged.</em></p>
<p><em>According to Huang, this measurement was the highest seen in the 126 years since anemometers were first installed in Taiwan in 1897. In addition, such was the force of the winds generated by Koinu &quot;the anemometer then broke down.&quot;</em></p>
<p>One question is, if the meter broke, how do they know the wind didn&#039;t go any higher?</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 06 Oct 2023 06:58:35 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Have seen some straight-runners in my time, but this is ridiculous.  Traveling on the same parallel for a 1000 km.  Shows how strong the H-pressure steering-ridge must be in Japan.</p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/20231005120417651ea641bfb27.png" alt="[image]" width="438" height="423" /></p>
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<pubDate>Thu, 05 Oct 2023 12:05:34 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We can safely say there&#039;ll be no cross-strait invasion today.  Strongest winds are shooting down the strait now - up to 10 on the Beaufort scale on Penghu.</p>
<p>It&#039;s interesting how it&#039;s not just the winds generated out from the centre of the typhoon that rock, but, as the image shows, winds sucked into the typhoon.</p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/20231005012535651e108fb29a8.png" alt="[image]" width="768" height="800" /></p>
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<pubDate>Thu, 05 Oct 2023 01:27:58 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Right on the verge now.  Pingtung always seems to cop it wherever the typhoon goes - but this one is going directly there, so interesting to see what happens. The eye can offer a little relief - but you do need to navigate through the eye-wall ...</p>
<p>CWB has two windiest places currently as Lanyu (no surprise) &amp; Penghu, which is a little surprising.  Shows how the wind wraps around Taiwan &amp; barrels down the strait even quite far from the centre of the storm. The wind image below shows how it makes a perfect &#039;6&#039; formation.</p>
<p>The eye is quite big, making the track somewhat deceptive. Although it&#039;s going through the southern tip of Taiwan it&#039;s about 50km wide - which puts Taidong City right in the firing line of the northern section of the eye-wall - which is the strongest part wind-wise.</p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/20231004120648651d55587dac2.png" alt="[image]" width="920" height="920" /></p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/20231004123353651d5bb1354a3.png" alt="[image]" width="920" height="825" /></p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2023 12:15:23 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good point about the map!</p>
<p>This looks like it has the potential to dump a lot of rain on Pingtung and Kaohsiung depending on its speed.</p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2023 06:42:44 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Drifted further north than initially predicted, putting Dulan back in the danger zone.  Won&#039;t be a massive-wind event (though windy enough) - but rain will likely be greater than the last one. </p>
<p>Side note: That&#039;s a pretty crappy map by CWB - if you didn&#039;t know you&#039;d think Kaohsiung is where Taidong is. Despite that, their 24 hr tracks are usually very accurate - to within 20-30km </p>
<p><img src="https://www.cwa.gov.tw/Data/typhoon/TY_WARN/B20eng.png?T=202310031000" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Tue, 03 Oct 2023 10:48:39 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Koinu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>New storm building &amp; heading vaguely towards south Taiwan.  Following the same pattern as others this season with the steering ridge blocking a northward path &amp; shaping it into another &#039;straight-runner&#039;. </p>
<p>Wind speed is building - up to 135 kt gusts as it approaches Taiwan - which is similar to the last one.</p>
<p>Not good news for those in Dulan still recovering from the last battering.  It&#039;s hard picking up the pieces from one hit - taking a second blow within just over a month is downright depressing.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1423.gif" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 01 Oct 2023 04:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Libya floods - thousands dead (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not a place i would normally associate with floods but it&#039;s often the case that such places experience the worst impacts coz they&#039;re not used to it.  Whereas Taiwan has an excellent drainage system able to withstand 500 mil without too much drama, a drier zone that lacks that infrastructure will experience a disaster with the same amount of rain or less.  Derma received only 250-300 mm, but that was enough to set off a chain reaction of catastrophic events.</p>
<p>In this case, torrential rain from Storm Daniel caused a <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/13/why-did-dernas-dams-break-when-storm-daniel-hit-libya">dam to burst its banks</a>, which then caused another dam downstream to collapse, which then sent a wall of water through populated areas.  </p>
<p>Some estimates are saying the death-toll could reach 20 000!  </p>
<p><img src="https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-13T140846Z_858407859_RC2M73A2WCJA_RTRMADP_3_LIBYA-STORM-DERNA-1694614787.jpg?resize=770%2C513&amp;quality=80" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 13 Sep 2023 22:51:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Lows Galore (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A cluster of five Lows stretching from Guam to Hainan.  At least that explains the big-wet.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/fcst_img/2023-0909-0600_SFCcomboE.jpg?t=2023090923-1" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 09 Sep 2023 13:19:15 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Hong Kong Floods (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#039;s some serious moisture in the east Asia Pacific this year.  Today HK received a record downpour causing widespread flooding.  Haven&#039;t been paying attention so don&#039;t know if this is remnants from Haikui or some separate storm.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the se coast of Taiwan is still getting drenched.  250 mil in Cheng Gong yesterday &amp; it&#039;s pouring there again now.</p>
<p>There does seem to be some opposites balancing act going on with predominantly hot dry conditions in Aus.  As i remember, during the floods in Aus, it was unusually dry in Taiwan.</p>
<p><img src="https://imageresizer.static9.net.au/aHuDL3URPv92ceXEWcgnbl4qFZo=/1200x0/https%3A%2F%2Fprod.static9.net.au%2Ffs%2Fa03bf167-3c9b-4a0d-8d59-451667a8b989" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 08 Sep 2023 12:49:38 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Getting reports that the worst of Haikui was in the eye-wall of the back-half.  That&#039;s unusual.  Most typhoons i&#039;ve experienced, the front half was much worse.  Quite often it&#039;s all but over as soon as the eye crosses.  </p>
<p>This, i guess, was due to the centre of the eye going in over Dong He, with Dulan in the eye, but 10k south, meaning the wind was coming more from the south east than the north east, as it usually does. </p>
<p>Places exposed to the north-east, that are used to bearing the brunt of typhoons, didn&#039;t get hammered as bad this time (though still hammered), whereas places exposed to the south east got hit a lot worse than they normally would.</p>
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<pubDate>Tue, 05 Sep 2023 01:39:43 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If it does start taking shape and looking like it might follow the same path, I&#039;d be tempted to hold off on repairs and serious cleaning until it passes.</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 22:41:10 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Part of the tail appears to have broken off and become it&#039;s own storm. I don&#039;t know if that&#039;s good or bad.  Good that it won&#039;t get dragged across - bad if it forms a new typhoon &amp; bee-lines for Taiwan again.  There&#039;s nothing worse than &#039;the old one-two&#039; when you&#039;re trying to endure natural disasters - or any traumatic stuff.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/satellite/LCC_IR1_MB_en_2750/LCC_IR1_MB_en_2750-2023-09-04-05-50.jpg" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 22:23:59 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Have chatted to friends there, seen some pics of the damage - seems it was relatively short but plenty sharp. </p>
<p>Lot of damage to Brian &amp; Minshu&#039;s Highway-11 bar/shop (again) - pretty much everyone is looking at some kind of damage.  A few people got caught out by the electricity going out quite early in the piece - meaning they couldn&#039;t close their metal shutters - so a lot of water inside houses.  </p>
<p>Power is still out &amp; guess it will be out all night.</p>
<p>But everyone is ok - just sucks having to do that clean-up work - it can take weeks of (unpaid) work to get things back in order.  </p>
<p>Top rainfall is 550 mm in Hualien - no surprise the biggest rain is always north of the eye on the east coast &amp; south of it on the west coast.  Remains to be seen where the tail rain ends up but probably mid to north Taiwan.</p>
<p>Now that the eye is nearly across the island - pretty much right over Kaohsiung - the southwest coast is copping it.  Pingdong always cops it somehow.</p>
<p>Until it hits China coast (at least another 24 hrs) &amp; loses some drawing power, it will continue dragging rain across through its tail, so i&#039;d expect a wet night for many areas.</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 12:42:33 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pretty much a direct hit. Gonna be a lot of roads out for a while.</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 11:46:59 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui - Eye over Dulan (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the record:</p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2023090309001664f44b20cd000.png" alt="[image]" width="314" height="288" /></p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2023090309004564f44b3ddf645.png" alt="[image]" width="783" height="718" /></p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2023090309011164f44b57e27a5.png" alt="[image]" width="535" height="391" /></p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 09:02:06 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Haikui (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last minute drift north towards Cheng Gong.  Reports are from Dulan that it&#039;s not too bad there so far.  Being slightly south of the eye is way better than slightly north.  Though i&#039;d still think it&#039;s going rock Dulan, it probably won&#039;t be as sustained as Cheng Gong or Dong He, Duli.</p>
<p>Biggest rain will be Taidong/Hualien border area right up to northern Ilan.</p>
<p>Check out that tail - looks like a dragon - lot of rain to be dragged through with that.</p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2023090305164864f416c075c11.png" alt="[image]" width="585" height="596" /></p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2023090305253964f418d3b564c.png" alt="[image]" width="535" height="391" /></p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 05:21:09 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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