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<title>Formosahut forum - Typhoon Rai (Odette)</title>
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<description>Living in Taiwan</description>
<language>en</language>
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<title>Typhoon Rai (Odette) (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Death toll is now at 112 according to <a href="https://apnews.com/article/philippines-manila-typhoons-5fefeba6a325b0a4a330cb194d630ace/gallery/01d914f086454e25b60c149d0841916a">AP</a> - seems likely to keep growing - some areas are only just becoming accessible.</p>
<p>There will be an enormous challenge to provide shelter, food and water to the survivors - God knows how long before power is restored.</p>
<p><img src="https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/01d914f086454e25b60c149d0841916a/1000.jpeg" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<link>https://formosahut.com/forum/index.php?id=3337</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 19 Dec 2021 10:31:12 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Rai (Odette) (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Reported deaths are now at 31. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-59709452">BBC:</a> There are growing concerns for the holiday island of Siargao. Its governor said the island was &quot;totally devastated&quot; </p>
<p>Governor of the neighbouring Dinagat islands, Arlene Bag-ao:  <em>The fields and boats of our farmers and fisherfolk have been decimated, we have lost our homes. Walls and roofs were torn and blown off…. We have a dwindling supply of food and water. Electricity and telecommunications are down. This is why we urgently and humbly ask for everyone&#039;s help.</em></p>
<p>That sounds grim. Everything you need to live suddenly wiped out. It will be a test for Philippines&#039;s disaster response. Hope they&#039;re up to it.</p>
<p><img src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/19e5f97e2fdbab1d936dbdab713331f5400d9273/0_1_3400_2040/master/3400.jpg?width=465&amp;quality=45&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=max&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=f9fb650be79cbe80a78c4f671cd7f969" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 18 Dec 2021 11:10:17 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Rai (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-59663829">BBC:</a> <em>Super typhoon Rai made landfall on the holiday island of Siargao on Thursday, bringing winds of about 195km/h (120mph) and heavy rainfall. So far 12 people are confirmed to have died. </em></p>
<p>That&#039;s big. In rural PPE there are a lot of traditional hut-style houses - not able to cope with that kind of pounding.</p>
<p><em>The island appeals to young, carefree travellers who want to escape the drudgery of urban life.</em></p>
<p><em>Surfers, digital nomads and international tourists all mingle in low-lit, beachside bars. Smoothie bowls and flat whites are readily available.</em> </p>
<p>Sounds like Dulan - except for the young bit maybe.</p>
<p>Looks to still going strong and currently over Palawan - another beautiful rural area that doesn&#039;t get too many big typhoons.</p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/2021121711401961bc77236eac2.png" alt="[image]" width="309" height="304" /></p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 17 Dec 2021 11:42:07 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>US tonadoes (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>That&#039;s freaky footage. Total devastation. I wonder how much warning they got - if any. Coming at night as well - must have been terrifying.</p>
</blockquote><p>Looking at that footage, it&#039;s clear why people in that area build storm shelters or go to the basement in the event of a tornado. There is absolutely no place else to hide. <br />
 </p>
<blockquote><p>Not enough to disrupt Bezos&#039;s party with his wealthy space tourists apparently, held hours after one of his facilities was struck - killing several employees. </p>
</blockquote><p>I wonder how many deaths it would take for him to acknowledge the tragedy through actions, not just words. 10? 50? 100? 1000?</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 12 Dec 2021 02:39:13 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>US tonadoes (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>It&#039;s not normal at all. Farther south, winter tornadoes happen somewhat more regularly, but this is not normal this far north.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZMAmxP5cgs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZMAmxP5cgs</a></p>
</blockquote><p>That&#039;s freaky footage. Total devastation. I wonder how much warning they got - if any. Coming at night as well - must have been terrifying.</p>
<p>Not enough to disrupt Bezos&#039;s party with his wealthy space tourists apparently, held hours after one of his facilities was struck - killing several employees. </p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://www.the-sun.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2021/12/NINTCHDBPICT000699643573.jpg" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<link>https://formosahut.com/forum/index.php?id=3322</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 12 Dec 2021 02:25:24 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>US tonadoes (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#039;s not normal at all. Farther south, winter tornadoes happen somewhat more regularly, but this is not normal this far north.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZMAmxP5cgs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZMAmxP5cgs</a></p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 11 Dec 2021 22:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>US Tornadoes (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dec 11 <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fifty-people-likely-killed-tornadoes-kentucky-governor-2021-12-11/">(Reuters)</a> - <em>Some 50 people are &quot;likely&quot; to have been killed in a devastating outbreak of tornadoes that ripped through Kentucky and several other U.S. states late Friday and early Saturday</em>.</p>
<p>That&#039;s a lot of people killed. Several different tornadoes in the tornado alley states - seems worst in Mayfield Kentucky where one hit a candle factory. Must have been a helluva day.</p>
<p>Made me wonder what&#039;s the worst one ever.</p>
<p>Apparently it&#039;s 1300 killed in Bangladesh in 1989 - then 747 dead in a US tornado alley event in Mar, 1925 - that travelled a record 325 km!</p>
<p>I always thought tornadoes were a spring or early fall deal - but Dec 11 is winter. Is that normal Dan?</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 11 Dec 2021 12:36:32 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yep, Chanthu changed course from earlier forecasts. I talked with one person who has lived here a while who said this is an unusual path for typhoons that hit Japan. We&#039;ll be getting whatever is left of it on Saturday.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 17 Sep 2021 05:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I see they&#039;ve had 395 mil in the last 24 hrs at Kubakowa - on the mid-south east coast of Japan. Probably plenty more where that came from.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#5/32.213/134.385/&amp;elem=precipitation24h&amp;contents=amedas&amp;lang=en&amp;interval=60">https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#5/32.213/134.385/&amp;elem=precipitation24h&amp;co...</a></p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 17 Sep 2021 03:09:28 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chanthu has an uncanny ability to pick the gaps. If i didn&#039;t know better i&#039;d think it was being remote controlled to avoid landfall. Just missed the Philippines north east then went due north - followed the contour of the Taiwan coast up towards Shanghai - is now stalled there just off the coast - then expected to sneak through between Korea and Japan. Supposed to finally make landfall on the mid-north west coast of Japan. Bet they don&#039;t get too many typhoons striking there.  Of course it will be well-reduced by then but it is feeding rain into Japan from it&#039;s outlet as it comes - so could be some heavy falls for Japan&#039;s southern regions. <a href="https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#5/32.306/130.43/&amp;elem=precipitation24h&amp;contents=amedas&amp;lang=en&amp;interval=60">https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#5/32.306/130.43/&amp;elem=precipitation24h&amp;con...</a></p>
<p>As an aside, you could control a typhoon&#039;s path if you could create weaknesses in the high-pressure ridge - draw it towards the weakness. So if you could create a low pressure or a cold front then it could be done - but don&#039;t know how you&#039;d do that.</p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/typhoon/TY_NEWS/PTA_202109140600-96_enus.png" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Tue, 14 Sep 2021 11:13:20 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is high stakes tracking. You look at the radar image you think how the heck is that gonna miss making landfall on the south east coast?</p>
<p>But CWB is usually accurate for 24 hrs. Weather chart - which i can&#039;t seem to upload - shows a collection of lows due north forming a weakness in the ridge - hence the track.</p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/typhoon/TY_WARN/B20eng.png?T=202109110800" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 11 Sep 2021 09:24:59 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah... this doesn&#039;t look good. </p>
<p><img src="https://formosahut.com/forum/images/uploaded/20210910111204613b3d849a026.png" alt="[image]" width="772" height="570" /></p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 10 Sep 2021 11:12:08 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#039;s quite a change in forecast. Indeed, the east coast should be on the lookout... and it&#039;s hitting on a weekend. Perhaps drunkenness will squelch the effects of nature.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 10 Sep 2021 10:21:14 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is looking serious for the south east. At this stage landfall is around Cheng Gong but could easily duck in for a direct hit on Taitung city or Dulan.</p>
<p>Travelling speed is also a slight concern - it&#039;s not snail&#039;s pace but it&#039;s not moving fast either. Not till after landfall.</p>
<p>The other worry is the approach - coming up that angle it&#039;s going to feed a lot of rain into Taitung even before it gets there.</p>
<p><br />
<img src="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/typhoon/TY_NEWS/PTA_202109100000-120_enus.png" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 10 Sep 2021 03:27:39 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#039;s the type of storm that could cause real problems in SE Taiwan.</p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2021 21:42:11 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gusts up to 160 kts now - sustained at 130. That&#039;s 240 kph. That&#039;s serious wind speed. Track now has it picking the gap and going through to China. </p>
<blockquote><p><br />
<img src="https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1921.gif" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2021 10:49:09 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Typhoon Chanthu (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That was a quick answer to &#039;where have the typhoons gone?&#039;  Two typhoons have since formed in the north west pacific - one is heading to the PPE while the biggere one, Chanthu, looks likely to hit Taiwan somewhere - maybe on Saturday.</p>
<p>Wind gusting up to 140kts - that&#039;s over 200kph.</p>
<p>Sometimes the season does just start late - runs through Sep-Oct.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1921.gif" alt="[image]"  /></p>
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<pubDate>Tue, 07 Sep 2021 12:25:37 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Where have all the typhoons gone? (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#039;s now been several years since Taiwan has had a substantial typhoon. I can remember going two seasons without one but not this long. In that time there have been a few going up to Japan and a couple to Philippines but guessing an overall decline.</p>
<p>There seems to be plenty of Hurricanes about - the US has had two big years in a row - but something is going on in the north west pacific.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 04 Sep 2021 22:29:05 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Ida (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, 3 inches in an hour in NY City seems to be what did it.</p>
<p>That&#039;s 75 mil - a normal afternoon downpour in Taipei during the Monsoon but it&#039;s whether places are geared up to cope with it. Most big cities aren&#039;t.</p>
<p>The scenes were eerily similar to what happened in China earlier in the year when a subway flooded.</p>
<p><br />
Note: relocated your post - can i get a job as a moderator?</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 03 Sep 2021 11:25:21 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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<title>Dan&#039;s Ida post (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by dan @, Friday, September 03, 2021, 16:13 (2 hours, 58 minutes ago)</p>
<p>More than <a href="https://apnews.com/article/northeast-us-new-york-new-jersey-weather-60327279197e14b9d17632ea0818f51c">45 dead after Ida’s remnants blindside Northeast</a><br />
This appears to be an outside-the-norm storm. Remnants of Ida.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 03 Sep 2021 11:17:08 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dulan drift</dc:creator>
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