Formosahut forum - Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one?

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dan — Thu, 22 Aug 2019 12:04:56 +0000

It's this sort of event that I don't think they built into their models...

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Thu, 22 Aug 2019 10:43:27 +0000

This should pump up the emissions!

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Mon, 19 Aug 2019 12:23:17 +0000

Yeah, Taiwan is arguably a literal and metaphorical fault-line for everything

Meanwhile a developing bushfire event in Spain. Large, out-of-control, with optimum weather conditions - if you're a wildfire

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dan — Wed, 14 Aug 2019 10:20:05 +0000

"Wonder if there are weather fault-line equivalents?"

If so, southern Taiwan should be on alert: http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2019/08/14/2003720453

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Wed, 14 Aug 2019 09:49:06 +0000

An example of the 'erratic effect' with the monsoons in India that have triggered landslides resulting in over 400 deaths. Is there a co-relation to earthquakes in that there's a 'pressure build-up' thing happening?

Monsoons are essential rain bringers but appear to have become erratic with the hits being harder and the misses being drought events. The between-drinks time is the pressure-cooker that pushes 'til something gives

Wonder if there are weather fault-line equivalents?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/aug/14/india-flood-alert-monsoon-kerala

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Mon, 05 Aug 2019 13:59:39 +0000

Yes - nothing quite says 'end of days' like a good locust plague

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dan — Sat, 03 Aug 2019 21:01:13 +0000

Locusts?

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Sat, 03 Aug 2019 13:32:03 +0000

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Fri, 26 Jul 2019 22:24:01 +0000

Another 'unprecedented' story - with possible 'tipping point' connotations - 100 000 hectares of fires burning in the arctic regions - some of which involve the underlying peat having caught fire.

"In June alone, the WMO said, Arctic fires emitted 50 megatonnes of CO2, equal to Sweden’s total annual emissions."

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jul/26/unprecedented-more-than-100-wildfires-bur...

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Wed, 24 Jul 2019 23:12:23 +0000

That's interesting - although there's not the Armageddon type conditions in Europe and north America that i'd expected, they are still breaking heat records - several more fell this week. Was also the hottest June on record for Europe.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jul/24/summers-second-heatwave-set-to-break-reco...

We'd need to know more about how the weather patterns work to properly analyse the situation in Japan - could it be that the 'omega block' referred to in the above article - "a high-pressure pattern that blocks and diverts the jet stream, allowing a mass of hot air to flow up from northern Africa and the Iberian peninsula " (causing the extreme heat in Europe), somehow be having a cooling effect in Japan?

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dan — Mon, 22 Jul 2019 22:23:40 +0000

I have to get around to doing some research on how unusual (if truly unusual) this summer is in northern Japan. When I first got here, everyone complained about the hot, muggy summers. I have a long sleeve shirt on in the house and if I were go for a walk right now (7AM) I'd put pants on. We got back on July 4, and most days it has not broken 20.

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Mon, 22 Jul 2019 22:18:07 +0000

At this stage i don't see too many signs that this summer is 'the big one' - in fact 'neutral' seems to be the key word - though i still think a dramatic northern summer is on the cards in the next few years. (Yes, there are places experiencing extreme conditions but it's not the 'tipping point' season i'd expected - not so far)

Meteorologists are saying that it's a neutral year regarding El Nino-La Nina - and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is also neutral - so is it the calm before the storm?

The IOD is predicted to head into 'positive' territory which indicates a dry spring-summer for Aus meaning worse bushfire conditions - but they were also saying a dry winter before and it bucketed down for months - so we'll see ...

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Fri, 12 Jul 2019 11:39:03 +0000

Bushfires in Hawaii - is that unusual?

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/jul/12/hawaii-wildfire-forces-thousands-to-eva...

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dan — Fri, 12 Jul 2019 11:35:01 +0000

Those are pretty high temps. I wish they could send some of that heat to northern Japan.

Northern hemisphere summer - is this the big one? (reply)

dulan drift — Fri, 12 Jul 2019 11:32:35 +0000

39.3 in Taimali Taitung - not sure why it's so hot there - seems to be 3-4C above the next hottest place in Taitung - and often tops the hottest places in Taiwan